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A Statistical Analysis of Short-Term Wind Power Forecasting
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A Statistical Analysis of Short-Term Wind Power Forecasting Error Distribution

The purpose of this research is to forecast the Error Distribution. Based on the research aim, you get all the sections listed in the table of contents provided by Sparklyn Services, covering Chapters One to Five, including the References. Please note that the complete material will be sent in Microsoft Word (.docx) format upon request, allowing you to make changes whenever needed.

ABSTRACT

The rapid development of wind power has provided a potential energy source in electrical power system. A number of forecasting methodologies have been proposed to predict wind power based on the historical meteorological data and the time-scale framework. However, no forecasting techniques show the predominance over the others. A comprehensive understanding of wind power forecasting errors can lead to a better operational manner of electrical power system. Therefore, the primary purpose of this paper is to perform a statistical analysis of short-term wind power forecasting errors based on practical wind power measurements. First of all, a short-term wind power data from Belgium was investigated. Secondly, the wind power forecasting errors were analyzed based on several statistical criteria. Thirdly, comparisons were made between the analyzed error distribution and the normal distribution which is commonly assumed in electrical power system simulation studies. Finally, a correcting method was proposed to improve the assumption of wind power forecasting error distribution.

CHAPTER ONE

1.1 Introduction

In this section, a Statistical Analysis of Short-Term Wind Power Forecasting Error Distribution is discussed, with relevant and recent citations. As a prelude to other parts of this study, this chapter will discuss the background upon which this study was initiated, the statement of problems that led to this study, the aim and objectives of the study. Others are significance of the study, scope of work, research hypothesis and questions, limitation of the study and definition of terms.

1.4 Aim and Objectives of the Study

The aim of the study is to forecast the Error Distribution. The study is guided by the following objectives:

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CHAPTER TWO

2.1 Introduction

This chapter presents existing knowledge, relevant theories, previous research findings, and the methods used by other researchers to provide background information on a Statistical Analysis of Short-Term Wind Power Forecasting Error Distribution. This section also documents the state of the art on the subject under study and provides a comprehensive review of the existing literature. In this research work the literature review includes the conceputal review, theoretical framework, the review of related literature …

How to Download the Complete PDF Material (Table of Contents, Abstract, Chapter 1-5, and References)

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