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An Econometric Analysis of the Relationship Between Exchange Rate Depreciation and Inflation in Nigeria

An Econometric Analysis of the Relationship Between Exchange Rate Depreciation and Inflation in Nigeria

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DEDICATION

This research material, titled “An Econometric Analysis of the Relationship Between Exchange Rate Depreciation and Inflation in Nigeria” is dedicated to God for His boundless grace and guidance. It is also a tribute to all computer enthusiasts whose contributions made my research journey smoother and enriched my documentation process, making the experience truly fulfilling.



ACKNOWLEDGEMENT

I am profoundly grateful to everyone who contributed to the successful completion of this project. I am especially grateful to my Supervisor (Name), the Head of Department (Name), and the Lecturers in the Department of Banking and Finance (BF) for their invaluable guidance and support. I also acknowledge the contributions of authors and scholars whose works on An Econometric Analysis of the Relationship Between Exchange Rate Depreciation and Inflation in Nigeria provided essential insights. Special thanks go to my study area (and any funding organizations, if applicable) for their financial assistance. I am equally thankful to stakeholders, including mentors, teachers, and colleagues, for their encouragement and support. Finally, I deeply appreciate my family and friends for their patience and unwavering support throughout this journey. Your contributions have been instrumental in making this research a reality.



TABLE OF CONTENTS

PRELIMINARY PAGES

CHAPTER ONE

INTRODUCTION

    CHAPTER TWO

    LITERATURE REVIEW

    • 2.1 Introduction
    • 2.2 Conceptual Review
    • 2.3 Theoretical Framework
    • ⋮
    • 2.4 Empirical Studies
    • 2.5 Research Gaps
    • 2.6 Summary of Literature Review

    CHAPTER THREE

    RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

    • 3.1 Introduction
    • 3.2 Research Design
    • 3.3 Population of Study
    • 3.4 Sampling and Sampling Technique
    • 3.5 Validation of Research Instrument
    • 3.6 Method of Data Collection
    • 3.7 Method of Data Analysis
    • 3.8 Questionnaire Administration
    • 3.9 Ethical Consideration
    • 3.10 Statistical Analysis

    CHAPTER FOUR

    DATA ANALYSIS, RESULT AND DISCUSSION

    • 4.1 Introduction
    • 4.2 Presentation and Analysis of Data
    • 4.3 Re-statement of Research Questions
    • 4.4 Test of Hypotheses
    • 4.5 Discussion of Findings

    CHAPTER FIVE

    SUMMARY, CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATION

    • 5.1 Introduction
    • 5.2 Summary of Findings
    • 5.3 Conclusion
    • 5.4 Recommendation
    • 5.5 Suggestion for Further Study

    REFERENCES

    APPENDIX A - “QUESTIONNAIRE”


    ABSTRACT

    Overtime, Nigeria has experienced persistent depreciation in its exchange rate, with inflationincreasing at opposite direction, despite government’s exchange rate policies to stabilize prices. Exchange rate is key in foreign trade, as no country can satisfy demands of its population by operating close economy due to nations are endowed with varying natural resources. Thus, exchange rate and inflation constitute key determinants of economic performance of any economy.

    This paper therefore investigates the relationship between exchange rate depreciation and inflation in Nigeria for the period 1980-2013, by applying Co-integration test, Vector Error Correction Model and Partial Correlation Coefficient analysis. Variables used in the study include inflation rate (INFR), exchange rate (EXCR), money supply (M2) and real gross domestic product (RGDP). The study conducted stationarity test, and found stationarity of the variables at second difference.

    The results of co-integration test revealed that long run relationship exist among the variables. Thus, since negative weak correlation value of -0.143 exist between inflation and exchange rate; the study recommends that government should consider both official and parallel exchange rate markets in its exchange rate policies, as over reliance on official market alone in tackling inflation problem would be frustrated, if parallel exchange market remained unchecked.


    An Econometric Analysis of the Relationship Between Exchange Rate Depreciation and Inflation in Nigeria

    CHAPTER ONE

    1.1 Introduction

    … As a prelude to other parts of this study, this chapter will discuss the background upon which this study was initiated, the statement of problems that led to this study, the Aim and Objectives of the study. Others are Significance of the study, Scope of work, Research hypothesis and questions, Limitation of the study and Definition of technical terms.…

    CHAPTER TWO

    2.0 Literature Review

    2.1 Introduction

    This chapter focuses on the review of related literature. A literature review includes the current knowledge as well as theoretical and methodological contributions to a particular topic. It documents the state of the art with respect to the topic you are writing. It surveys the literature in the topic selected. In this research work the literature review includes the conceputal review, theoretical framework, the review of related literature …

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