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Shipping Trade and Its Impact on Economic Growth in Nigeria

Shipping Trade and Its Impact on Economic Growth in Nigeria

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Reference ID: PS-1045-TM

DEDICATION

This research material titled “Shipping Trade and Its Impact on Economic Growth in Nigeria” is dedicated to God for his enabling grace, and to all computer enthusiasts who contributed to make life a pleasant experience during my research documentation.

ACKNOWLEDGEMENT

I extend my sincere gratitude to all those who contributed to the completion of this project. Special thanks to my Supervisor (Name of your Supervisor), the Head of Department (Name of your HOD), the Lecturers in the department of Transport Management Technology, Book Authors and Profound Scholars of existing or related project material on “Shipping Trade and Its Impact on Economic Growth in Nigeria” for their invaluable guidance, support, and expertise throughout the journey.

I am also grateful to your study area (mention any funding organizations, if applicable) for their financial assistance. This research would not have been possible without the encouragement and assistance of some stakeholders (mention any mentors, teachers, or colleagues). Additionally, I would like to acknowledge the understanding and patience of my family and friends during this endeavor. Your unwavering support has been a constant source of motivation. Thank you all for being part of this meaningful endeavor.


Shipping Trade and Its Impact on Economic Growth in Nigeria

TABLE OF CONTENTS

PRELIMINARY PAGES


CHAPTER ONE

INTRODUCTION

  • 1.1 Background of Study
  • 1.2 Statement of Problems
  • 1.3 Aim and Objectives of Study
  • 1.4 Research Questions
  • 1.5 Research Hypothesis
  • 1.6 Significance of Study
  • 1.7 Scope of Study
  • 1.8 Limitations of the Study
  • 1.9 Definition of Terms

CHAPTER TWO

LITERATURE REVIEW

  • 2.1 Introduction
  • 2.2 Conceptual Framework
  • 2.3 Current Status and Trends in World Shipping
  • 2.3.1 Overview of the World Shipping Industry
  • 2.3.2 Trends in Ship Types and Features
  • 2.3.3 Trends in Shipping Economics
  • 2.4 Overview of Shipping Markets–The Current Trend
  • 2.5 The Global Evolution of Containerization
  • 2.6 Importance of Maritime Trade in Nigeria’s Economy
  • 2.7 Ownership of Merchant Navy Fleet
  • 2.8 Opportunities for African Maritime Countries

CHAPTER THREE

RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

  • 3.1 Introduction
  • 3.2 Definition of Area and Population of Study
  • 3.3 Sources of Data
  • 3.4 Procedure for Data Analysis
  • 3.5 Operational Definition of Variables / Hypotheses Testing
  • 3.5.1 Hypothesis 1
  • 3.5.2 Hypotheses 2
  • 3.5.3 Hypotheses 3
  • 3.6 Test of Significance
  • 3.6.1 Test of Model Significance – Anova
  • 3.6.2 Test of the Model; Coefficient of Determination and the F-Test Approach
  • 3.7 Assumptions of the Linear Regression Model

CHAPTER FOUR

DATA ANALYSIS, RESULT AND DISCUSSION

  • 4.1 Introduction
  • 4.2 Data Presentation
  • 4.3 Data Analysis and Hypotheses Testing
  • 4.3.1 The Influence of Shipment Export Trade on Economic Development
  • 4.3.1.1 Test of Model Significance – Anova Method
  • 4.3.1.2 Test of Model Significance, R2 Method
  • 4.3.1.3 Test of the Significance of the Explanatory Variable
  • 4.3.2 The Influence of Shipment Export Trade on Nigeria External Reserve
  • 4.3.2.1 Test of Model Significance – Anova Method
  • 4.3.2.2 Test of Model Significance – R2 Method
  • 4.3.2.3 Test of the Significance of the Explanatory Variables
  • 4.3.3 The Influence of Shipment Export Trade on External Debt Payment
  • 4.3.3.1 Test of Model Significance – Anova Method
  • 4.3.3.2 Test of Model Significance, R2.
  • 4.3.3.3 Test of the Significance of the Explanatory Variable
  • 4.4 Discussion of Results
  • 4.4.1 Hypothesis One
  • 4.4.2 Hypothesis Two
  • 4.4.3 Hypothesis Three

CHAPTER FIVE

SUMMARY, CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATION

  • 5.1 Introduction
  • 5.2 Summary
  • 5.3 Conclusion
  • 5.4 Recommendation

REFERENCES

APPENDIX A - “QUESTIONNAIRE”

ABSTRACT

The study investigates the impact of Ocean shipment trade on Nigeria’s economic development, covering the period, 1976-2015. Ocean shipment trade, in thousands of tonnes served as the independent variable in all the three hypotheses defined while, the gross domestic product, Nigerian value of external reserves and external debt payment were employed as the proxies for the level of economic development, respectively for hypotheses I through 3. A simple regression analysis was applied to the time series data. Findings of the study include the fact that a significant and positive relationship exits between ocean shipment export trade and the gross domestic product, external reserve and external debt payment. Also shipment export trade is a significant contributor to Nigeria’s economic development under each of the dependent variables. On the basis of these findings and conclusions, the study, among other things, recommends that the overall institutional setting in the economy should be improved upon in order to reap in full the benefits of ocean shipment trade in Nigeria. Also, there is need to improve the poor transparency and hence reduce corruption that appears to be endemic in our country, and hence improve the gains from shipment export trade.


Shipping Trade and Its Impact on Economic Growth in Nigeria

CHAPTER ONE

1.0 Introduction

1.1 Background of Study

Shipping has for a long time been recognized as one of the strong catalysts for socio-economic development. Back in 1776, Adams Smith noted that “A business working in a country town without links to the outside world can never achieve high levels of efficiency because its small market will limit the degree of specialization”. Because shipping is one of the cheapest and efficient modes of transportation over long distances, it has since the ancient times been at the forefront of opening up of the world, and thus a major driver of the process of globalization.

Shipping, especially container shipping, has been both a cause and effect of globalization. Container shipping could lay claim to being the world’s first truly global industry. In fact, container shipping could claim to be the industry which, more than any other, makes it possible for a truly global economy to work. It connects countries, markets, businesses and people, allowing them to buy and sell goods on a scale not previously possible. It is now impossible to imagine world trade, and ultimately our lives as consumers, without container shipping. Shipping has led to a phenomenal growth in world merchandise trade, which has consistently grown faster than output. In 2006, goods loaded at ports worldwide are estimated at 7.42 billion tonnes, up from 5.98 billion tonnes in 2000. The value of total world exports increased from US$6,454 billion in 2002 to US$40,393 billion in 2005, representing an increase of 64 per cent.

According to Kummi (2007), shipping has emerged as one of the most powerful socio-economic and political forces shaping the world today. The phenomenon of shipping is moving the world towards increasing and irreversible integration of economic, social, cultural and political systems. Globalization through shipping trade has “decoupled time and space” resulting in the “death of distance”. Thanks to globalization, the once big world has been transformed into “one little village”.

Shipping has been one of the main causes and effects of globalization. The impact of globalization on shipping, especially container shipping, has been most phenomenal. Indeed, shipping connects countries, markets, businesses and people, allowing them to produce, buy and sell goods on a scale not previously possible. It therefore becomes necessary, if not imperative for countries to try to evaluate impact of shipping trade on their economies.

Consequently, this study is an appraisal of the impact of shipping trade on economic growth in Nigeria.


1.2 Statement of Problems

The maritime industry is international in nature and is acknowledged to be a very dynamic component in the socio-economic configuration of any given maritime nation. Nigeria is no exception. Even land-locked countries such as Mali and Burkina - Faso in West Africa also hinge, their economic fortunes on the maritime sector relying as it were on the port of Abidjan for import and export transactions. One major problem that has continued to plague the industry in Nigeria is the issue of adequate policy formulation and implementation, hence the contribution of shipping trade to economic growth has therefore being a subject of debate.

In traditional maritime nations such as United Kingdom, the USA, the Scandinavians, other European Countries among others, the factors of time, proper planning, co-ordination and implementation of clear-cut policies through government intervention largely account for the enviable levels of efficiency, sophistication and monumental success in their maritime activities especially in respect of its contribution to economic growth. The reverse appears to be the case in Nigeria as the fortunes of the industry have continued to suffer progressive catastrophe over the years. A very near example is the fact that the Nigerian National Shipping Line (NNSL) which took delivery of 19 (nineteen) brand new tonnages from European shipyards in 1979 and 1980, has not only lost all her vessels but has been liquidated altogether. This is complicated by the inability of governments of different types to float an indigenous national carrier up till date.


1.3 Aim and Objectives of Study

The aim of the study is to empirically determine the impact of ocean shipping export trade on Nigeria’s economic development. In achieving this aim, the following specific objectives were laid out as follows:

  1. To determine the relationship between ocean shipping export trade and Nigeria’s gross domestic product.
  2. To ascertain the influence of ocean shipping export trade on Nigeria’s external reserve.
  3. To determine whether ocean shipping export trade significantly influences the level of external debts payment.
  4. To isolate policy constraints towards the effective use of ocean shipping export trade to boost economy and proffer policy recommendations.

1.4 Research Questions

The study came up with research questions so as to be able to ascertain the above stated objectives. The specific research questions for the study are stated below as follows:

  • To what extent has ocean shipping export trade influenced the level of Nigeria’s gross domestic product?
  • What is the influence of ocean shipping export trade on Nigeria’s foreign exchange reserve?
  • To what extent has ocean shipping export trade influenced Nigeria’s debt service payment?
  • What are the policy constraints toward the effective use of ocean shipping export trade receive in Nigeria?
  • What is the nature of relationship between ocean shipping export trade and Nigeria’s economic development?

1.5 Research Hypothesis

In order to pursue the objective of this study, the following generalized statements have been designed to guide and aids in obtaining the result for the experiment to be conducted. For this work, the null hypothesis will be represented with H0 while the alternative hypothesis will be represented with hypothesis H1.

  • H01: There is no significant relationship between ocean shipping export trade and the Gross Domestic Product.
  • H02: There is no significant relationship between ocean shipping export trade and External Reserve.
  • H03: There is no significant relationship between ocean shipping export trade and External Debts Payment.

1.6 Significance of Study

There is no gain saying the fact that the issue of economic growth and development is one of the most sensitive issues in Nigeria of today. One reason for the sensitivity of this issue is the scenario of abject poverty in the Land of surplus as is the case in Nigeria. The reason for this boils down to the fact that every reasonable Nigerian is bothered about the economic imperialism brought about by the level of underdevelopment. The generation yet unborn is even saddled and sold to economic slavery because of the present level of poverty and penury.

A research work on such a sensitive matter as the relationship between economic development, external reserve, debt payment and ocean shipping export trade in Nigeria, is therefore at this time a necessity.

The need to provide a lasting solution to the problem of underdevelopment, abject poverty, tribal clashes, Niger Delta Youth restiveness, religious bigotry among others, provide workable economic growth scenario, management of our abundant natural resources among others as would be advocated in this research work is therefore a task that must be done and hence a justification for this research work. Hence, this study is significant.


1.7 Scope of Study

This research work aims at covering an overview of the nature of the relationship between the ocean shipping export trade and economic development in Nigeria, giving special attention to the some indicators of economic growth in Nigeria - gross domestic product, external reserve and external debt payment.

References would be made to other countries which are relevant to this research work. The study also covers a period of 39years, 1976-2015.


1.8 Limitations of the Study

The research work has been intended to have an overview analysis of the Nigerian ocean shipping export trade in relation to it economic development and growth. It would assess the concept of ocean shipping export trade in relation to the current level of economic growth given special attention to relationships between ocean shipping export trade and some indicators of economic growth.

However, due to time constraints and lack of good data base and information sources in Nigeria and worst still because of lack of good data in the required government ministries and parastatals, the research work could not cover all the economic growth information of the country.


1.9 Definition of Terms

Transportation: It is an act, process, or instance of transporting or being transported. Any device used to move an item from one location to another. Common forms of transportation include planes, trains, automobiles, and other two-wheel devices such as bikes or motorcycles.

Accessibility: accessibility refers to ease of reaching destinations. People in places that are highly accessible would reach many other activities or destinations quickly and people in inaccessible places can reach many fewer places in the same amount of time, so that nearer or less expensive places are weighted more than farther or more expensive places.

Logistics: Logistics is generally the detailed organization and implementation of a complex operation. In a general business sense, logistics is the management of the flow of things between the point of origin and the point of consumption in order to meet requirements of customers or corporations.

Logistics Management: Logistics management is the part of supply chain management that plans, implements, and controls the efficient, effective forward, and reverses flow and storage of goods, services, and related information between the point of origin and the point of consumption in order to meet customer's requirements.

CHAPTER TWO

2.0 Literature Review

2.1 Introduction

This chapter focuses on the review of related literature. A literature review includes the current knowledge as well as theoretical and methodological contributions to a particular topic. It documents the state of the art with respect to the topic you are writing. It surveys the literature in the topic selected. In this research work the literature review includes the …

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