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The Impact of Government Expenditure on Inflation in Nigeria

The Impact of Government Expenditure on Inflation in Nigeria

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DEDICATION

This research material, titled “The Impact of Government Expenditure on Inflation in Nigeria” is dedicated to God for His boundless grace and guidance. It is also a tribute to all computer enthusiasts whose contributions made my research journey smoother and enriched my documentation process, making the experience truly fulfilling.




ACKNOWLEDGEMENT

I am profoundly grateful to everyone who contributed to the successful completion of this project. I am especially grateful to my Supervisor (Name), the Head of Department (Name), and the Lecturers in the Department of Economics for their invaluable guidance and support. I also acknowledge the contributions of authors and scholars whose works on The Impact of Government Expenditure on Inflation in Nigeria provided essential insights. Special thanks go to my study area (and any funding organizations, if applicable) for their financial assistance. I am equally thankful to stakeholders, including mentors, teachers, and colleagues, for their encouragement and support. Finally, I deeply appreciate my family and friends for their patience and unwavering support throughout this journey. Your contributions have been instrumental in making this research a reality.




ABSTRACT

This study examined The Impact of Government Expenditure on Inflation in Nigeria. This research work made use of secondary data which were collected from the central bank Nigeria Statistical Bulletin (2017). The data were collected for a period of thirty two years (i.e. 1981-2017).

The Study establishes the order of integration of individual time series through the unit root test and also subjected all the variable to stationary test, however, haven test the stationarity for each time series, test for co-integration was conducted between the variables, which reveals that none of the variables co-integrated, and thereafter an error correction mechanism or model (ECM) was conducted on the model.

The result of the Error Correction Mechanism reveals that government expenditure has no statistical relationship with inflation, though the coefficient of government recurrent expenditure was positively related to inflation. Government expenditure and exchange rate was able to explain 9.65% of the total variation in inflation, after taking cognisance of the degree of freedom.

The study concluded that Government expenditure is able to induce inflation through its impact on money supply. The study recommends that: Much of government spending should be channeled into productive ventured such as directly productive activities (DPAs) and Social Overhead Capital (SOCs); Money supply should be strictly controlled; Formulate appropriate fiscal and monetary policy − mix to effectively Control inflationary pressure in the economy; Maintain a good strategic balance between capital and recurrent expenditure to prevent the economy from being consumption − based.



The Impact of Government Expenditure on Inflation in Nigeria



Introduction

1.1 Background of the Study

Government Expenditure is the amount of resources spent by a particular government to finance all its operations so as to provide public goods. Oyinlola (2010) observed that the size of government expenditure and its impact on economic growth have emerged as a major fiscal management issue facing economies in transition. Singh and Sahini (2014) has urged that a large and growing government is not conducive to better economic performance. For decades public expenditures have been expanding in Nigeria, as in any other country of the world.

Akpan (2015) opines that the observed growth in public spending appears to apply to most countries regardless of their level of economic development. Over the years, increases in the finances of government have led to a number of theoretical and empirical investigations of the sources of such increases. Researchers have particularly questioned whether increases in the size of federal budget tend to be initiated by changes in expenditure followed by revenues adjustments or by the reverse sequence or both Baghestani & Mcnown, (2004), Akpan, (2015).

A growing government expenditure is contrary to a government’s economic interest because the various methods of financing government such as taxes, borrowing and printing money have harmful effects. Government spending by its very nature is often economically destructive regardless of how it is financed Kneller (2009).

Governments need finances because of their roles in the society. For a government to provide all the public goods, it requires finances which are obtained mainly through taxes, grants and loans Tanzi, (2004). In Nigeria, governments depend more on oil revenues and taxes to finance their operations and often borrow and get grants to finance their budget deficits.

Inflation on the other hand determines the value for money that a government will achieve out of its expenditures. One of the most macroeconomic objectives of any country is to sustain high economic growth with low inflation Liu, (2008). Inflation imposes negative externalities on the economy when it interferes with the economies efficiency. It may also reduce a country’s international competitiveness, by making its exports relatively more expensive than its imports thus impacting on the balance of payments Koiman, (2007). Individually, inflation and government expenditure do affect economic growth.

Government expenditure plays an important role in physical and human capital formation over time. Government performs two functions namely: protection and provision of certain goods Abdullah, (2010) and Fasta, Hagen, Hughes, Siebert and Strauch (2003). Protection function consists of the creation of the rule of law and enforcement of property rights which help minimize risk of criminality and external aggression. Under the provision of public goods are health, education, power, agriculture, transportation etc. Many political philosophers like Hobbes and Locke considered the hypothetical disadvantages of life without government Devarjan, Swaroop and Zou (2006). The ideal size of government is not the problem of the economic theory. But, economic theory tells us to examine cost and benefit in order to determine whether resources are allocated in a manner that increase or decrease economic growth.

The basic economic policy of the good society is public expenditure in line with future economic growth and wellbeing. For example, expenditure on health and education raises the productivity of labour and increase the growth of national output. Similarly, expenditure on infrastructure such as roads, Communication, power reduces productions cost and increases private sector investment and profitability of firms thus fostering economic growth. Supporting this view, Scholars such as Abdullah, (2010) concluded that expansion of government expenditure determine the inflation rate of an economy.

In the Nigerian context for instance, the public sector consists of the Federal, state and local government enterprises. Some government financial operations remain entirely outside the budget and are funded by extra budgetary accounts. Therefore, the effects of expenditure on economic growth may be a comprehensive indicator of public productivity. However, governments have always been very careful in planning her expenditures by means of government budgets and National income.

Government in their different economic activities and policy formulations whether short term or long term usually encounters some problems which needs to be solved. Without solving these problems, government might not be able to formulate and implement of policies which is capable to put the economy along the path of sustainable economic growth and development. Knowledge of the effects of public expenditure on economic growth and the application of this knowledge in the solutions of some problems encountered by different policy makers in their short term or long term economic activities with a view of arriving at a specific and active policy is a problem which this study will attempt to address.

In light of this, this present study will embarked on finding the relationship between the government expenditure and inflation in Nigeria using the economic period of 1981 and 2017 to determine this.


CHAPTER TWO

2.0 Literature Review

2.1 Introduction

This chapter focuses on the review of related literature. A literature review includes the current knowledge as well as theoretical and methodological contributions to a particular topic. It documents the state of the art with respect to the topic you are writing. It surveys the literature in the topic selected. In this research work the literature review includes the conceputal review, theoretical framework, the review of related literature …

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Defense Procedure for Economics Researchers


In preparation for defending a project or seminar on The Impact of Government Expenditure on Inflation in Nigeria, it is imperative that as a nursing student, you demonstrate comprehensive knowledge of your research. The defense process is structured to include presenting your work, answering questions, and illustrating its pertinence. Initially, provide a succinct yet thorough introduction to your research topic, emphasizing its importance and the objectives, ensuring that both the audience and the External Examiner can understand the scope of your study.


Prior to your defense, be thoroughly acquainted with your research abstract and the critical elements of Chapter One, including motivation for embarking on this research, problem statement, objectives, and significance. In Chapter Two, be ready to cite at least two references from the literature review. For Chapter Three, you should be equipped to discuss the methodologies, tools, and techniques utilized. In Chapter Four, defend your research by justifying the findings and linking them to your research objectives.


Conclude your defense by succinctly summarizing the study and offering insightful, evidence-based recommendations. A professional dress code, such as wearing a suit and tie, is vital to create a favorable impression and elevate your presentation.


During the question and answer segment, the External Examiner may pose questions pertaining to your research. If confronted with a challenging or irrelevant question, respond diplomatically with, “Sorry, Sir/Madam, the question asked is beyond the scope of my study.” Whenever possible, direct your answers back to your research findings to reinforce your expertise.


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